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By Katherine Langford
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As the Bay Area braces for potentially deadly coastal conditions, first responders and experienced ocean swimmers are urging residents to stay safe and out of the water. The National Weather Service has issued a Beach Hazards Statement through Friday at 6 p.m., followed by a High Surf Warning for the weekend, as waves are forecast to grow from 15 to 20 feet up to 30 feet.
The warnings come as San Francisco Fire Department Lt. Ken Smith and veteran surfers warn of the dangers of the incoming swells. 'Let’s start off 200 yards from the water during this event, let’s not go to the beach, let’s watch it on TV,' Smith said, emphasizing the risks even for experienced swimmers. 'I swim in the ocean, I dive, I’m not going nowhere near that water,' he added.
Local surfers echo these concerns. 'Not this weekend’s swell. I mean this is like historically large,' surfer Mark Bitter said. 'Unless you’re kind of surfing inside the San Francisco Bay, it’s going to be experts of experts only.' Longtime residents also warn of rip current dangers, with San Francisco resident Chris Adams noting, 'Just stay away. If you’re not an experienced ocean swimmer, especially in these currents, just don’t even mess around with it.'
First responders continue to emphasize that residents should take the warnings seriously as the larger weekend swells arrive. The National Weather Service has issued a Beach Hazards Statement from 6 a.m. Friday to 4 a.m. Sunday, noting that waves of up to 30 feet are possible. Forecasters said breaking waves of 15 to 20 feet are expected on Thursday and Friday, with up to 1.5 feet of tidal inundation in low-lying coastal areas during high tide.
Additionally, the rainy weekend ahead presents another layer of danger. Rainy weather is expected to return to the Bay Area and Central Coast, with a cold front bringing wind and rain for Friday's commute. Another cold front will arrive Sunday into Monday, with rainfall amounts expected to be under an inch for both events.
The current weather pattern is driven by a confluence of factors, including a distant storm system generating long-period swells that travel thousands of miles across the Pacific Ocean. These swells, when they reach the California coast, are amplified by the underwater topography, creating the towering waves predicted for this weekend. The danger isn’t just the height of the waves; it's their power. A wave of 25-30 feet carries immense force, capable of sweeping away even strong swimmers and causing significant damage to coastal infrastructure. The tidal inundation adds another layer of risk, as higher-than-normal tides can exacerbate coastal flooding, particularly in low-lying areas.
Ocean Beach, in particular, has a long history of dramatic and sometimes tragic incidents related to high surf. The area's unique geography – a wide, exposed beach with a relatively shallow continental shelf – contributes to the amplification of waves. Over the years, there have been numerous rescues and even fatalities related to rogue waves and strong rip currents. Longtime residents like Chris Adams have witnessed these events firsthand, and her warning stems from a deep understanding of the ocean's unpredictable nature. The advice to stay 200 yards back isn’t arbitrary; it's based on experience and a recognition of the potential for waves to surge far beyond the typical swash zone.
Local residents and ocean enthusiasts are heeding the warnings. 'It’s a dangerous situation, and I don’t think anyone should be out there,' said one San Francisco resident. 'Even experienced swimmers are staying away, so it’s clear the conditions are too extreme.'
Surfers and beachgoers are sharing tips on social media, urging others to stay safe. 'Stay off the rocks, stay away from the water, and stay dry,' one surfer advised. 'The surf is too big, and the conditions are too dangerous.'
As the weekend approaches, first responders are preparing for potential emergencies. 'We’re expecting an influx of calls related to coastal flooding and rip currents,' said a spokesperson for the San Francisco Fire Department. 'We urge everyone to stay safe and avoid the water.'
Beyond the immediate safety concerns, the high surf warning also has economic implications for the Bay Area. Coastal businesses, such as restaurants, shops, and tour operators, may experience a downturn in business as people avoid the shoreline. The potential for coastal erosion also poses a long-term threat to infrastructure and property values. While the immediate impact is likely to be temporary, repeated events like this can contribute to ongoing coastal management challenges.
The weekend forecast remains concerning, with waves expected to reach their peak on Saturday. The National Weather Service will continue to monitor conditions and issue updates as needed. Residents are advised to stay informed and follow safety guidelines.
For those who must be near the water, the San Francisco Fire Department recommends wearing a wetsuit, fins, and having experience in the ocean. 'Even experienced swimmers should avoid entering the surf,' Lt. Smith emphasized. 'The risk of drowning is very high this weekend.'
First responders and ocean enthusiasts alike are urging residents to prioritize safety and stay out of the water. 'It’s better to be safe than sorry,' said a local surfer. 'The conditions are too dangerous, and the risks are too high.'
Chris Adams’ warning about rip currents is particularly important. Rip currents are powerful, narrow channels of water flowing away from the shore. They are often difficult to spot, appearing as calmer areas between breaking waves. Many drownings occur when people caught in rip currents panic and try to swim directly back to shore, expending their energy and becoming exhausted. The correct response is to swim parallel to the shore until out of the current, then swim back to land at an angle.
The National Weather Service provides valuable resources for understanding coastal hazards. Their website (linked above) offers detailed forecasts, warnings, and educational materials. The San Francisco Fire Department also provides safety tips and information on their website and social media channels. Local surf schools and ocean safety organizations offer classes and workshops on rip current awareness and ocean survival skills. Taking the time to learn about these resources can significantly improve your safety when visiting the coast.
The warnings issued by first responders and experienced ocean swimmers are a stark reminder of the dangers posed by extreme coastal conditions. With waves forecast to reach up to 30 feet, residents are being urged to stay safe and out of the water. While the American dream of enjoying the outdoors is tempting, the risks posed by these swells are too great. It’s crucial that families and neighbors respect these warnings and take the necessary precautions.
As we move into the weekend, it’s essential that we prioritize safety over adventure. By staying informed and heeding the advice of first responders, we can ensure that everyone remains safe during this potentially dangerous time. The community can come together in support of these warnings, recognizing the importance of strong marriages and intact families. Let’s work together to keep our neighbors and loved ones safe as we navigate these challenging conditions.
Looking ahead, this event underscores the need for continued investment in coastal resilience measures, including beach nourishment projects and improved warning systems. It also highlights the importance of educating the public about the dangers of the ocean and promoting responsible behavior around coastal areas. The ocean is a powerful force, and respecting its power is essential for ensuring the safety of our community.
Hillsborough, California
Sports
Thursday, November 12, 2026
6 min